Am Abgrund: Pakistan, Afghanistan und der Westen


Nach STURZ INS CHAOS schreibt Ahmed Rashid die Geschichte des Afghanistankriegs fort und schildert die dramatische Lage in seinem Heimatland. Im Schatten der Tötung von Al-Qaida-Chef Osama bin Laden und des für 2014 angekündigten Rückzugs des Westens analysiert er in AM ABGRUND die sich auftürmenden Probleme: In Pakistan hat die oft korrupte und verantwortungslose Führungsschicht weder den Mut noch den Willen, dringend notwendige Reformen einzuleiten. Derweil wächst das pakistanische Atomwaffenarsenal, und das Militär unterstützt weiterhin heimlich jihadistische Extremisten. Die Taliban beherrschen weite Teile Afghanistans, die Regierung von Präsident Hamid Karzai scheint wie gelähmt. Rashid geht aber auch mit US-Präsident Barack Obama ins Gericht. Dessen Politik habe dazu geführt, dass sich das Verhältnis zwischen Islamabad und Washington auf einem Tiefpunkt befindet. Die Truppenaufstockungen in Afghanistan und Bemühungen insbesondere der deutschen Diplomatie, Gespräche mit den Taliban in Gang zu bringen, haben bislang kaum Resultate erbracht. So stellt sich die Frage eines westlichen Botschafters: «Wird es eine afghanische Armee geben und eine zivile Verwaltung, die übernehmen kann, oder knipsen wir einfach das Licht aus?» Rashid zeigt Wege auf, wie der Schritt in den Abgrund noch verhindert werden kann.
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Dec 1, 2014
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Political Science / Security (National & International)
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The leading journalist on Pakistan lays out America's options with Pakistan and Afghanistan in the post-Bin Laden years.

What are the possibilities-and hazards-facing America as it withdraws from Afghanistan and as it reviews its long engagement in Pakistan? Where is the Taliban now in both these countries? What does the immediate future hold and what are America's choices as President Obama considers our complicated history and faces reelection?

These are some of the crucial questions that Ahmed Rashid- Pakistan's preeminent journalist-takes on in this follow-up to his acclaimed Descent into Chaos. Rashid correctly predicted that the Iraq war would have to be refocused into Afghanistan and that Pakistan would emerge as the leading player through which American interests and actions would have to be directed. Now, as Washington and the rest of the West wrestle with negotiating with unreliable and unstable "allies" in Pakistan, there is no better guide to the dark future than Ahmed Rashid.

He focuses on the long-term problems-the changing casts of characters, the future of international terrorism, and the actual policies and strategies both within Pakistan and Afghanistan and among the Western allies-as the world tries to bring some stability to a fractured region saddled with a legacy of violence and corruption. The decisions made by America and the West will affect the security and safety of the world. And as he has done so well in the past, Rashid offers sensible solutions and provides a way forward for all three countries.

The #1 New York Times bestselling author provides a shocking analysis of the crisis in Pakistan and the renewed radicalism threatening Afghanistan and the West.

Ahmed Rashid is “Pakistan’s best and bravest reporter” (Christopher Hitchens). His unique knowledge of this vast and complex region allows him a panoramic vision and nuance that no Western writer can emulate.

His book Taliban first introduced American readers to the brutal regime that hijacked Afghanistan and harbored the terrorist group responsible for the 9/11 attacks. Now, Rashid examines the region and the corridors of power in Washington and Europe to see how the promised nation building in these countries has pro-gressed. His conclusions are devastating: An unstable and nuclear-armed Pakistan, a renewed al’ Qaeda profiting from a booming opium trade, and a Taliban resurgence and reconquest. While Iraq continues to attract most of American media and military might, Rashid argues that Pakistan and Afghanistan are where the conflict will finally be played out and that these failing states pose a graver threat to global security than the Middle East.

Benazir Bhutto’s assassination and the crisis in Pakistan are only the beginning. Rashid assesses what her death means for the region and the future. Rashid has unparalleled access to the figures in this global drama, and provides up-to-the-minute analysis better than anyone else. Descent Into Chaos will do for Central Asia what Thomas Rick’s Fiasco did for Iraq — offer a blistering critique of the Bush administration and an impassioned call to correct our failed strategy in the region.
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