Reliability Engineering and Risk Analysis: A Practical Guide, Second Edition, Edition 2

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Tools to Proactively Predict Failure

The prediction of failures involves uncertainty, and problems associated with failures are inherently probabilistic. Their solution requires optimal tools to analyze strength of evidence and understand failure events and processes to gauge confidence in a design’s reliability.

Reliability Engineering and Risk Analysis: A Practical Guide, Second Edition has already introduced a generation of engineers to the practical methods and techniques used in reliability and risk studies applicable to numerous disciplines. Written for both practicing professionals and engineering students, this comprehensive overview of reliability and risk analysis techniques has been fully updated, expanded, and revised to meet current needs. It concentrates on reliability analysis of complex systems and their components and also presents basic risk analysis techniques. Since reliability analysis is a multi-disciplinary subject, the scope of this book applies to most engineering disciplines, and its content is primarily based on the materials used in undergraduate and graduate-level courses at the University of Maryland. This book has greatly benefited from its authors' industrial experience. It balances a mixture of basic theory and applications and presents a large number of examples to illustrate various technical subjects. A proven educational tool, this bestselling classic will serve anyone working on real-life failure analysis and prediction problems.

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About the author

Mohammad Modarres is a professor of nuclear engineering and reliability engineering. His research areas are system reliability modeling, probabilistic risk analysis, probabilistic physics of failure, and uncertainty modeling and analysis. He is a consultant to several government and private organizations as well as national laboratories. Prof. Modarres has published more than 200 papers in professional journals and proceedings of conferences; three books; and a number of book chapters, edited books, and handbooks. He is a University of Maryland Distinguished Scholar-Teacher, a fellow of the American Nuclear Society, and has received a number of other awards in reliability engineering and risk assessment. Prof. Modarres received his PhD in nuclear engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in 1979 and his MS in mechanical engineering from MIT in 1977.

Mark Kaminskiy is the chief statistician at the Center of Technology and Systems Management, University of Maryland (College Park). Dr. Kaminskiy is a researcher and consultant in reliability engineering, life data analysis, and risk analysis of engineering systems. He has conducted numerous research and consulting projects funded by the government and industrial companies such as the Department of Transportation, the Coast Guard, the Army Corps of Engineers, the Navy, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, the American Society of Mechanical Engineers, Ford Motor Company, Qualcomm Inc., and several other engineering companies. He has taught several graduate courses on reliability engineering at the University of Maryland. Dr. Kaminskiy is the author or coauthor of over 50 publications in journals, conference proceedings, and reports.

Vasiliy Krivtsov is a senior staff technical specialist in reliability and statistical analysis with Ford Motor Company. He holds MS and PhD degrees in electrical engineering from Kharkov Polytechnic Institute, Ukraine, and a PhD in reliability engineering from the University of Maryland. Dr. Krivtsov is the author or coauthor of over 40 professional publications, including a book on reliability engineering and risk analysis, nine patented inventions, and three Ford trade secret inventions. He is an editor of Reliability Engineering and System Safety journal and is a member of the IEEE Reliability Society. Prior to Ford, Dr. Krivtsov held the position of associate professor of electrical engineering in Ukraine and that of a research affiliate at the Center for Reliability Engineering, University of Maryland. Further information on Dr. Krivtsov's professional activity is available at http://www.krivtsov.net.

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Additional Information

Publisher
CRC Press
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Published on
Sep 22, 2009
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Pages
470
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ISBN
9781420008944
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Best For
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Language
English
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Genres
Business & Economics / Production & Operations Management
Business & Economics / Quality Control
Mathematics / Probability & Statistics / Bayesian Analysis
Mathematics / Probability & Statistics / General
Technology & Engineering / Quality Control
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Content Protection
This content is DRM protected.
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Eligible for Family Library

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With emphasis on practical aspects of engineering, this bestseller has gained worldwide recognition through progressive editions as the essential reliability textbook. This fifth edition retains the unique balanced mixture of reliability theory and applications, thoroughly updated with the latest industry best practices.

Practical Reliability Engineering fulfils the requirements of the Certified Reliability Engineer curriculum of the American Society for Quality (ASQ). Each chapter is supported by practice questions, and a solutions manual is available to course tutors via the companion website.

Enhanced coverage of mathematics of reliability, physics of failure, graphical and software methods of failure data analysis, reliability prediction and modelling, design for reliability and safety as well as management and economics of reliability programmes ensures continued relevance to all quality assurance and reliability courses.

Notable additions include:

New chapters on applications of Monte Carlo simulation methods and reliability demonstration methods. Software applications of statistical methods, including probability plotting and a wider use of common software tools. More detailed descriptions of reliability prediction methods. Comprehensive treatment of accelerated test data analysis and warranty data analysis. Revised and expanded end-of-chapter tutorial sections to advance students’ practical knowledge.

The fifth edition will appeal to a wide range of readers from college students to seasoned engineering professionals involved in the design, development, manufacture and maintenance of reliable engineering products and systems.

www.wiley.com/go/oconnor_reliability5

Based on the author’s 20 years of teaching, Risk Analysis in Engineering: Techniques, Tools, and Trends presents an engineering approach to probabilistic risk analysis (PRA). It emphasizes methods for comprehensive PRA studies, including techniques for risk management. The author assumes little or no prior knowledge of risk analysis on the part of the student and provides the necessary mathematical and engineering foundations. The text relies heavily on, but is not limited to, examples from the nuclear industry, because that is where PRA techniques were first developed. Since PRA provides a best-estimate approach, the author pays special attention to explaining uncertainty characterization.

The book begins with a description of the basic definitions and principles of risk, safety, and performance and presents the elements of risk analysis and their applications in engineering. After highlighting the methods for performing PRAs, the author describes how to assess and measure performance of the building blocks of PRAs, such as reliability of hardware subsystems, structures, components, human actions, and software. He covers methods of characterizing uncertainties and methods for propagating them through the PRA model to estimate uncertainties of the results. The book explores how to identify and rank important and sensitive contributors to the estimated risk using the PRA and performance assessment models. It also includes a description of risk acceptance criteria and the formal methods for making decisions related to risk management options and strategies. The book concludes with a brief review of the main aspects, issues, and methods of risk communication.

Drawing on notes, homework problems, and exams from courses he has taught as well as feedback from his students, Professor Modarres provides a from-the-trenches method for teaching risk assessment for engineers. This is a textbook that is easy to use for students and professors alike.

Based on the author’s 20 years of teaching, Risk Analysis in Engineering: Techniques, Tools, and Trends presents an engineering approach to probabilistic risk analysis (PRA). It emphasizes methods for comprehensive PRA studies, including techniques for risk management. The author assumes little or no prior knowledge of risk analysis on the part of the student and provides the necessary mathematical and engineering foundations. The text relies heavily on, but is not limited to, examples from the nuclear industry, because that is where PRA techniques were first developed. Since PRA provides a best-estimate approach, the author pays special attention to explaining uncertainty characterization.

The book begins with a description of the basic definitions and principles of risk, safety, and performance and presents the elements of risk analysis and their applications in engineering. After highlighting the methods for performing PRAs, the author describes how to assess and measure performance of the building blocks of PRAs, such as reliability of hardware subsystems, structures, components, human actions, and software. He covers methods of characterizing uncertainties and methods for propagating them through the PRA model to estimate uncertainties of the results. The book explores how to identify and rank important and sensitive contributors to the estimated risk using the PRA and performance assessment models. It also includes a description of risk acceptance criteria and the formal methods for making decisions related to risk management options and strategies. The book concludes with a brief review of the main aspects, issues, and methods of risk communication.

Drawing on notes, homework problems, and exams from courses he has taught as well as feedback from his students, Professor Modarres provides a from-the-trenches method for teaching risk assessment for engineers. This is a textbook that is easy to use for students and professors alike.

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