Author Robert Carver draws on financial theory, his experience managing systematic hedge fund strategies and his own in-depth research to explain why systematic trading makes sense and demonstrates how it can be done safely and profitably. Every aspect, from creating trading rules to position sizing, is thoroughly explained. The framework described here can be used with all assets, including equities, bonds, forex and commodities.
There is no magic formula that will guarantee success, but cutting out simple mistakes will improve your performance. You'll learn how to avoid common pitfalls such as over-complicating your strategy, being too optimistic about likely returns, taking excessive risks and trading too frequently.
Important features include:
- The theory behind systematic trading: why and when it works, and when it doesn't.
- Simple and effective ways to design effective strategies.
- A complete position management framework which can be adapted for your needs.
- How fully systematic traders can create or adapt trading rules to forecast prices.
- Making discretionary trading decisions within a systematic framework for position management.
- Why traditional long only investors should use systems to ensure proper diversification, and avoid costly and unnecessary portfolio churn.
- Adapting strategies depending on the cost of trading and how much capital is being used.
- Practical examples from UK, US and international markets showing how the framework can be used.
Systematic Trading is detailed, comprehensive and full of practical advice. It provides a unique new approach to system development and a must for anyone considering using systems to make some, or all, of their investment decisions.
Robert Carver worked in the City of London for over a decade. He initially traded exotic derivative products for Barclays investment bank and then worked as a portfolio manager for AHL – one of the world’s largest systematic hedge funds – before, during and after the global financial meltdown of 2008. He was responsible for the creation of AHL’s fundamental global macro strategy and then managed the fund’s multi-billion dollar fixed income portfolio before retiring from the industry in 2013. Robert, who has bachelors and masters degrees in Economics, now systematically trades his own portfolios of futures and equities.
The Lazy Fundamental Analyst presents a collection of strategies based on the application of quantitative analysis to fundamentals-based investing. It will appeal to anyone looking for simple, effective and low-risk investing strategies.
The strategies are organised by ten business sectors: Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Energy, Financials, Health Care, Industrials, Information Technology, Materials, Telecommunication Service and Utilities. For each sector a strategy is proposed for large capitalisations (companies in the S&P 500 Index) and another is given for small capitalisations (companies in the Russell 2000 index).
For each sector, and each strategy, Fred Piard explains how to follow his 'lazy' approach to choose stocks by using only a couple of financial ratios. The strategies eschew detailed due diligence of companies and markets - instead they rely on applying quantitative techniques to filter out the best investments in each sector. These strategies can be managed in just a few minutes per month, making them suitable for those who only have limited time to devote to investing but still wish to have a winning return. Portfolio protection through the use of market timing and hedging is also presented and this can be used with any of the strategies.
If you don't have the inclination for in-depth fundamental analysis, or only have a few spare minutes per month for your investing, try Fred Piard's lazy approach to quantitative analysis.
Included in the book are details on company share structure, tricks of manipulators and crooks on how to create share positions, facts never before disclosed in written form. After reading the book an individual will know how a scam deal is initiated, how the scam is furthered and how the manipulator manipulates a stock. The methods of a manipulator are exposed and can be detected by the reader in real time deals currently trading.
This book may reveal methods that shock you and will leave you shaking your head in disbelief for a long time to come.
1. What to invest in.
2. How much to invest.
3. When to make changes to a portfolio.
Author Robert Carver addresses these three areas by providing a single integrated approach to portfolio management. He shows how to follow a step-by-step process to build a multi-asset investment portfolio, and how to rebalance the portfolio efficiently. He covers both investment in collective funds like ETFs, and also direct investment in individual equities.
Important features include:
-- Why forecasting future returns is so difficult, and how to account for uncertainty when making investment decisions.
-- How to accurately calculate the true costs of an investment, including costs that you may not even be aware of.
-- How to select the best ETF for each asset class.
-- How to compare the costs and other features of different ETFs.
-- How to select individual shares.
-- Calculating the number of shares needed for adequate diversification.
-- How to use systematic forecasting algorithms to adjust portfolio allocations.
-- How to cut trading costs through smart rebalancing strategies and execution tactics.
Robert Carver also explains how to blend assets with different levels of risk, and how to construct portfolios that suit the level of risk that the investor can cope with.
Smart Portfolios is detailed, comprehensive, and full of practical methods, rules of thumb and techniques, all fully explained with examples. It is intended for professional investors worldwide, including financial advisors, private bankers, wealth managers and institutional funds; as well as experienced private investors.
A Guide to Creating a Successful Algorithmic Trading Strategy provides the latest strategies from an industry guru to show you how to build your own system from the ground up. If you're looking to develop a successful career in algorithmic trading, this book has you covered from idea to execution as you learn to develop a trader's insight and turn it into profitable strategy. You'll discover your trading personality and use it as a jumping-off point to create the ideal algo system that works the way you work, so you can achieve your goals faster. Coverage includes learning to recognize opportunities and identify a sound premise, and detailed discussion on seasonal patterns, interest rate-based trends, volatility, weekly and monthly patterns, the 3-day cycle, and much more—with an emphasis on trading as the best teacher. By actually making trades, you concentrate your attention on the market, absorb the effects on your money, and quickly resolve problems that impact profits.
Algorithmic trading began as a "ridiculous" concept in the 1970s, then became an "unfair advantage" as it evolved into the lynchpin of a successful trading strategy. This book gives you the background you need to effectively reap the benefits of this important trading method.Navigate confusing markets Find the right trades and make them Build a successful algo trading system Turn insights into profitable strategies
Algorithmic trading strategies are everywhere, but they're not all equally valuable. It's far too easy to fall for something that worked brilliantly in the past, but with little hope of working in the future. A Guide to Creating a Successful Algorithmic Trading Strategy shows you how to choose the best, leave the rest, and make more money from your trades.
"Algorithmic Trading is an insightful book on quantitative trading written by a seasoned practitioner. What sets this book apart from many others in the space is the emphasis on real examples as opposed to just theory. Concepts are not only described, they are brought to life with actual trading strategies, which give the reader insight into how and why each strategy was developed, how it was implemented, and even how it was coded. This book is a valuable resource for anyone looking to create their own systematic trading strategies and those involved in manager selection, where the knowledge contained in this book will lead to a more informed and nuanced conversation with managers."
—DAREN SMITH, CFA, CAIA, FSA, President and Chief Investment Officer, University of Toronto Asset Management
"Using an excellent selection of mean reversion and momentum strategies, Ernie explains the rationale behind each one, shows how to test it, how to improve it, and discusses implementation issues. His book is a careful, detailed exposition of the scientific method applied to strategy development. For serious retail traders, I know of no other book that provides this range of examples and level of detail. His discussions of how regime changes affect strategies, and of risk management, are invaluable bonuses."
—Roger Hunter, Mathematician and Algorithmic Trader
'Trading Systems' is an insight into what a trader should know and do in order to achieve success on the markets. You don't need to be a rocket scientist to build a winning trading system.
Divided into three parts, this book highlights exactly how you can build that system. Part One is a short practical guide to trading systems' development and evaluation, forming the theoretical basis for Part Two. It condenses the authors' years of experience in a number of practical tips.
A step-by-step development process covering everything from the initial code writing up to walk forward analysis and money management makes up Part Two; a combination of Emilio Tomasini's experience and Urban Jaekle's practical application of trading systems and evaluation.
Part Three shows you how to put systems for all different markets together in the most effective way.
A trader can never say he achieved success but only that he survived: the black swan is always around the corner. 'Trading Systems' will help you find your way among the unchartered waters of systematic trading and show you what it takes to be the one that survives.
Practical Data Analysis with JMP, Third Edition, highlights the powerful interactive and visual approach of JMP to introduce readers to statistical thinking and data analysis. It helps you choose the best technique for the problem at hand by using real-world cases. It also illustrates best-practice workflow throughout the entire investigative cycle, from asking valuable questions through data acquisition, preparation, analysis, interpretation, and communication of findings.
The book can stand on its own as a learning resource for professionals, or it can be used to supplement a college-level textbook for an introductory statistics course. It includes varied examples and problems using real sets of data. Each chapter typically starts with an important or interesting research question that an investigator has pursued. Reflecting the broad applicability of statistical reasoning, the problems come from a wide variety of disciplines, including engineering, life sciences, business, and economics, as well as international and historical examples.
Application Scenarios at the end of each chapter challenge you to use your knowledge and skills with data sets that go beyond mere repetition of chapter examples.
New in the third edition, chapters have been updated to demonstrate the enhanced capabilities of JMP, including projects, Graph Builder, Query Builder, and Formula Depot.