Monty Hall Problem Simulator
1K+
Okudawunilodiwe
Wonke umuntu
info
Mayelana nalolu hlelo lokusebenza
Inkinga yaseMonty Hall ingenye yezinkinga ezidume kakhulu zezibalo ngaphakathi kwe-Probability Theory:
Emdlalweni wethelevishini kubonisa ukuthi umphathi ucela umdlali ukuba akhethe iminyango eyodwa evaliwe evulekile phambi komdlali. Ngemuva kweminyango emibili kukhona izimbuzi futhi ngemuva komnyango owodwa imoto umdlali angayithola uma ethatha leyo mnyango. Ngemuva kokuba umdlali ekhethile umnyango owodwa (ohlala uvalekile), umphathi uvula omunye umnyango onembuzi emva kwawo. Umninindlu ucele umdlali ukuthi ngabe ufuna ukuhlala emnyango ayewukhethile ekuqaleni noma ngabe ufuna ukushintshela komunye umnyango ovaliwe.
Umbuzo ngokusobala uwukuthi: Ingabe isidlali kufanele sishintshe umnyango noma sihlale emnyango okhethiwe?
Abantu abaningi bangase bathi kungakhathaliseki ukuthi isidlali sishintsha umnyango noma cha, ngoba amathuba okuwina imoto yi 50/50 noma kunjalo. Nakuba lokhu kubonakala kunengqondo ngoba kuneminyango emibili evaliwe, impendulo engalungile.
Impendulo efanele ukuthi ithuba lokuwina imoto ngu-67% uma umdlali eshintsha umnyango futhi kuphela 33% uma umdlali ehlala emnyango akhethe kuqala.
Ungakholwa ukuthi uhlangane okwamanje? Vele ulanda uhlelo lokusebenza bese ulizama!
Lolu hlelo lokusebenza likuvumela ukuba ulingise ngokuzenzakalelayo isimo semidlalo esichazwe kuze kufike izikhathi ezingu-5 Million ngokulandelana. Ungakhetha ukuthi ngabe ufuna umdlali ofanelwe ukushintsha njalo umnyango noma ukuhlala njalo emnyango owakhethile kuqala. Ngemuva kokuthi uhlelo lokusebenza lenze inombolo eceliwe yamageyimu, ikunika izibalo ezibonisa ukuthi mangaki emidlalweni umdlali awunqobile. Ngale ndlela ungatshela ukuthi isidlali kufanele yini noma akufanele sishintshe umnyango.
Emdlalweni wethelevishini kubonisa ukuthi umphathi ucela umdlali ukuba akhethe iminyango eyodwa evaliwe evulekile phambi komdlali. Ngemuva kweminyango emibili kukhona izimbuzi futhi ngemuva komnyango owodwa imoto umdlali angayithola uma ethatha leyo mnyango. Ngemuva kokuba umdlali ekhethile umnyango owodwa (ohlala uvalekile), umphathi uvula omunye umnyango onembuzi emva kwawo. Umninindlu ucele umdlali ukuthi ngabe ufuna ukuhlala emnyango ayewukhethile ekuqaleni noma ngabe ufuna ukushintshela komunye umnyango ovaliwe.
Umbuzo ngokusobala uwukuthi: Ingabe isidlali kufanele sishintshe umnyango noma sihlale emnyango okhethiwe?
Abantu abaningi bangase bathi kungakhathaliseki ukuthi isidlali sishintsha umnyango noma cha, ngoba amathuba okuwina imoto yi 50/50 noma kunjalo. Nakuba lokhu kubonakala kunengqondo ngoba kuneminyango emibili evaliwe, impendulo engalungile.
Impendulo efanele ukuthi ithuba lokuwina imoto ngu-67% uma umdlali eshintsha umnyango futhi kuphela 33% uma umdlali ehlala emnyango akhethe kuqala.
Ungakholwa ukuthi uhlangane okwamanje? Vele ulanda uhlelo lokusebenza bese ulizama!
Lolu hlelo lokusebenza likuvumela ukuba ulingise ngokuzenzakalelayo isimo semidlalo esichazwe kuze kufike izikhathi ezingu-5 Million ngokulandelana. Ungakhetha ukuthi ngabe ufuna umdlali ofanelwe ukushintsha njalo umnyango noma ukuhlala njalo emnyango owakhethile kuqala. Ngemuva kokuthi uhlelo lokusebenza lenze inombolo eceliwe yamageyimu, ikunika izibalo ezibonisa ukuthi mangaki emidlalweni umdlali awunqobile. Ngale ndlela ungatshela ukuthi isidlali kufanele yini noma akufanele sishintshe umnyango.
Kubuyekezwe ngo-
Ukuphepha kuqala ngokuqonda ukuthi onjiniyela baqoqa futhi babelane kanjani ngedatha yakho. Ubumfihlo bedatha nezinqubo zokuphepha zingahluka kuye ngokusebenzisa kwakho, isifunda, nobudala. Unjiniyela unikeze lolu lwazi futhi angalubuyekeza ngokuhamba kwesikhathi.
Ayikho idatha eyabiwe nezinkampani zangaphandle
Funda kabanzi mayelana nendlela onjiniyela abaveza ngayo ukwabelana
Ayikho idatha eqoqiwe
Funda kabanzi mayelana nokuthi onjiniyela bakuveza kanjani ukuqoqwa
Yini entsha
Improved the design of the app.
Ukusekelwa kwe-app
Mayelana nonjiniyela
David Olaf Augustat
mail@davidaugustat.com
Germany