PureStats: Data & Predictions

Define Studios

In-app purchases

About this app

PureStats is your data-driven football statistics and analysis. For every match, a statistical model computes real probabilities, predictions and fair odds — transparently derived and honestly labeled. You don't just get a tip, you get the numbers behind it.

▸ THE MODEL
At its core, several signals work together: a globally calibrated ELO (from leagues worldwide), Expected Goals (xG) for attack and defense, current form, league-specific home advantage and a Poisson goal distribution. From this the model computes 7 market groups with over 140 fair odds per match: match result, total goals, team goals, Asian goal lines, handicaps (European & Asian) and halves — with every line and outcome underneath.

▸ TOP MARKETS
The day's strongest model reads, fair odds per line — only from leagues whose hit rate we've confirmed in the forward test.

▸ FIXTURES & LEAGUES
The full schedule of 58 leagues across 42 countries in one place — kick-off times in your time zone, with ELO and last-5 form per team right in the overview. Tap any match for the full analysis. Plus every league's table.

▸ MATCH DETAIL
Forecast, expected goals per team, xG, ELO comparison, form, head-to-head, table and deep stats: shots, shots on target, corners, possession, pass accuracy, rest days, half-time figures. Plus an AI analysis (currently in the works) that puts the model, drivers and risk into words.

▸ DATA SIGNAL
Honest over pretty: a traffic light shows for each league how reliable the data is — green (verified), orange (in testing), red (thin data). You always know what you're looking at.

▸ COMBO CALCULATOR
The honest joint value: lines from the same match are computed correlated via the goals model — not naively multiplied like most calculators.

▸ CLV TRACKER
Enter your odds and compare them with the fair model odds and, after kick-off, with the closing line (Closing Line Value). Profit, ROI and average odds at a glance — for singles and combos, editable anytime.

▸ ALWAYS EVOLVING
PureStats keeps growing. New leagues unlock as soon as their hit rate is confirmed in the forward test — the data signal makes that progress visible. More markets, live analysis and tools are in the works. You transparently see what the model can do today and what's coming next.

▸ WHO IT'S FOR
For anyone who wants to understand football through data — stats fans, punters and analysts who look behind the odds. In German, English and Spanish.

Honest statistics, no promise of profit. Adults only (18+).

What’s new

More daily tips: The Top Markets tab now shows the full calibrated selection. Strong picks were being hidden before — you'll now see noticeably more picks per day. New: added the "Over 2.5 goals" market. Minor improvements and bug fixes.