Statistips - Data-Driven Sports Analytics

Probabilities, not predictions. Statistips runs machine-learning models trained on years of AFL, NBA, football and UFC data, and we show you the work.

Currently tracking 79% season accuracy across AFL 2026. Updated weekly. Published openly, so you can hold us to it.

FOUR SPORTS, ONE MODEL
• AFL: every match, every round
• NBA: every game, all season
• Football: Premier League, Champions League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Europa and Conference
• UFC: every fight on every card

WHAT YOU GET
• Honest match probabilities. Every game gets a win probability, a predicted margin and a total, calculated from team strength, recent form, injuries, weather, venue effects and head-to-head history.

• Fight forecasts (UFC). Every bout gets a win probability, a method-of-victory read (KO/TKO, submission or decision) and round-by-round projections. You also get live division rankings with the current champions, plus fighter-vs-fighter comparison with full striking and grappling analytics.

• Round Insights. See where our model's probability differs from the market price, across all four sports. The bigger the gap, the stronger the statistical signal.

• Stat Combo Builder (Pro). Multi-leg stat combinations priced from real player correlations. For example, when a midfielder gets 25+ disposals, how often does the forward also kick 2+. It's the actual joint rate from historical data, not naive multiplication. Now across AFL, NBA and football.

• Player analysis. Recent form, per-game averages, teammate correlations and opponent matchup splits, for every player with prop lines, every round.

• Weather-adjusted scoring. AFL predictions factor in wet-weather team affinity: the sides that hold up when kicking accuracy drops, and the ones that fade.

• Injury impact, quantified. Key player outs get converted into a team rating adjustment, so a close game doesn't surprise you when the model says otherwise.

• Power rankings and ELO that weight strength of schedule, not just wins.

• Full schedule, locked forecasts. Every round and every card. Predictions lock before each game starts, so you always see the exact forecast we made at game time. No rewriting history after the fact.

WHY IT'S DIFFERENT
Most tipping sites hand you a "tip" and a confidence %. Statistips hands you the actual probability, the features the model weighted and its recent accuracy history. If our model says 62%, we mean 62%, and we publish the receipts.

FREE
Try the full model every round, on the house:
• One full game each round (the Saturday night game on AFL), with complete analysis, player props and the Stat Combo Builder for that game. Fight Night cards only.
• Ladder, power rankings, fixtures, live scores and the full season schedule
• Model accuracy, published and updated weekly

PRO (AUD $9.99/MONTH)
Unlock everything, every sport:
• Every game and every fight, every round, fully unlocked across AFL, NBA, football and UFC
• Stat Combo Builder with unlimited combinations and saved combos
• Full Round Insights across the entire slate
• Player and fighter compare, plus head-to-head history
• Player correlations, injury intelligence and weather insights
• Full model stats and recent accuracy breakdown

Subscription auto-renews monthly until cancelled in Settings > Apple ID > Subscriptions. Restore Purchases is available on the paywall and Account page.

IMPORTANT
Statistips is a statistical analysis platform, not a gambling service. We do not accept bets, facilitate wagers or process gambling payments. All predictions are probabilistic forecasts, not guarantees. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

If gambling is causing harm, call 1800 858 858 or visit BetStop to self-exclude from all Australian wagering services.

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