Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

About this app

Compete with your friends by betting on literally anything.

Check Manifold when you want to know the true chances of an event happening. If you disagree with the odds, bet on it and make play-money if you're right. Create a play-money prediction market on any topic you're curious about. Trade with your friends to forecast the future.

Ratings and reviews

It would be a fun "capitalism simulator", but the ability to buy "play money" with real money makes it more alike a betting app than a game, even if you can only cash out by donating to charity. It's great that all the code is released under an open source license, though!

I love the concept of this app! But there seems to be a bug, after writing the title and going to the description, the description field starts acting weird and the app ends up being unresponsive. After hard close the title is not saved but the description field text is.

I would never bet real money but prediction markets seem like a ton of fun. This app allows you to test your ability to make predictions and apply the knowledge you learned reading the news that day without risking real money. The only problem is there are far fewer users and as a result far fewer things to bet on compared to poly market and kalshi. This means most of the time there are only a handful of things to look at and tons of them only resolve years in the future.

What’s new

NEW: Streak widget! Put your daily streak on your home screen with Mani the mascot. Long-press your home screen → Widgets → Manifold.

Also in this update:
• Fixed a sign-in loop and a stuck splash screen that could hit some users on launch
• Camera now works for identity verification
• Notification taps open the right market, even from a cold start
• Tablets and foldables can rotate freely
• Smoother, more stable app overall