Calculated Risks: How to Know When Numbers Deceive You
Nov 2015 · Simon and Schuster
Kitabu pepe
357
Kurasa
family_home
Kimetimiza masharti
info
Kuhusu kitabu pepe hiki
An accessible guide to what statistics really mean, the dangers of misreading them, and how to make smart decisions in an uncertain world.
Benjamin Franklin famously said that nothing is certain but death and taxes. Yet few of us really understand how to measure the uncertainties we face in life—or how to interpret statistical claims. It’s easy to become overwhelmed by the baffling array of percentages and probabilities we encounter every day. But in Calculated Risks, cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer offers a roadmap for the innumerate.
Drawing on real-life examples, Gigerenzer shows how our misunderstanding of numbers can endanger our health and security. He dispels the “illusion of certainty” that accompanies everything from medical screenings to DNA evidence. And he explains how statistics are routinely manipulated or misrepresented—and how to see through the deception.
Benjamin Franklin famously said that nothing is certain but death and taxes. Yet few of us really understand how to measure the uncertainties we face in life—or how to interpret statistical claims. It’s easy to become overwhelmed by the baffling array of percentages and probabilities we encounter every day. But in Calculated Risks, cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer offers a roadmap for the innumerate.
Drawing on real-life examples, Gigerenzer shows how our misunderstanding of numbers can endanger our health and security. He dispels the “illusion of certainty” that accompanies everything from medical screenings to DNA evidence. And he explains how statistics are routinely manipulated or misrepresented—and how to see through the deception.
Kuhusu mwandishi
Gerd Gigerenzer is director of the Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin, Germany. He has taught at several universities, including the University of Chicago and the University of Virginia, and has been a Fellow at the Center of Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences at Stanford University.
Kadiria kitabu pepe hiki
Tupe maoni yako.
Kusoma maelezo
Simu mahiri na kompyuta vibao
Sakinisha programu ya Vitabu vya Google Play kwa ajili ya Android na iPad au iPhone. Itasawazishwa kiotomatiki kwenye akaunti yako na kukuruhusu usome vitabu mtandaoni au nje ya mtandao popote ulipo.
Kompyuta za kupakata na kompyuta
Unaweza kusikiliza vitabu vilivyonunuliwa kwenye Google Play wakati unatumia kivinjari cha kompyuta yako.
Visomaji pepe na vifaa vingine
Ili usome kwenye vifaa vya wino pepe kama vile visomaji vya vitabu pepe vya Kobo, utahitaji kupakua faili kisha ulihamishie kwenye kifaa chako. Fuatilia maagizo ya kina ya Kituo cha Usaidizi ili uhamishe faili kwenye visomaji vya vitabu pepe vinavyotumika.
