Large-Scale Inference: Empirical Bayes Methods for Estimation, Testing, and Prediction

Bradley Efron

Kas 2012 · Institute of Mathematical Statistics Monographs Kitap 1 · Cambridge University Press

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We live in a new age for statistical inference, where modern scientific technology such as microarrays and fMRI machines routinely produce thousands and sometimes millions of parallel data sets, each with its own estimation or testing problem. Doing thousands of problems at once is more than repeated application of classical methods. Taking an empirical Bayes approach, Bradley Efron, inventor of the bootstrap, shows how information accrues across problems in a way that combines Bayesian and frequentist ideas. Estimation, testing and prediction blend in this framework, producing opportunities for new methodologies of increased power. New difficulties also arise, easily leading to flawed inferences. This book takes a careful look at both the promise and pitfalls of large-scale statistical inference, with particular attention to false discovery rates, the most successful of the new statistical techniques. Emphasis is on the inferential ideas underlying technical developments, illustrated using a large number of real examples.

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Bradley Efron is Max H. Stein Professor of Statistics and Biostatistics at the Stanford University School of Humanities and Sciences, and the Department of Health Research and Policy with the School of Medicine.