This book discusses the oil shocks of 1973-74, 1979-80, and the "minishock" of 1990-91, and examines the possibility of oil shocks over the next twenty years. The authors assess the world market outlook on the basis of underlying trends on world oil supply and demand. They take into account prospects for investment in oil production in the Persian Gulf states, the former Soviet republics, and Latin America; environmental factors and policies; and political uncertainties in the Middle East.
Edward R. Fried is a senior fellow in the Foreign Policy Studies program at Brookings and a coeditor of Third World Debt (1989) and Building a Canadian-American Free Trade Area (1987). He served as President Carter's adviser on international energy and was U.S. executive director at the World Bank.
Philip H. Trezise is a senior fellow in the Foreign Policy Studies program at Brookings and a coeditor of Third World Debt (1989) and Building a Canadian-American Free Trade Area (1987). He was assistant secretary of state during the Nixon administration.