Probability Map turns prediction market data into a single interactive world map.
HOW IT WORKS
Probability Map takes scattered prices from third-party trade contracts and puts them into one model: event, country or region, category, current probability, recent movement, and the sources behind it. Every event gets a precise geographic tag, so instead of a list, you see the real, physical world, and you can predict where expectations are shifting next.
WHAT YOU CAN DO
- Use Probability Map as a live world event tracker on an interactive map
- Filter by category - Politics, Economy, Technology, and Crypto
- See probability movement over 1H, 24H, and 7D
- Open a Country Overview for a quick forecast profile of any country
- Compare sources and see Consensus Probability where two or more sources agree
- Dive into Event Detail pages with full source history
- Build a personal Watchlist of countries and events, with notes and a photo per item
- Everything above is free, with no ads and no subscription
WHY GEOGRAPHY
Most prediction market data is published without geographic context the same way it does on Polymarket and Kalshi and Manifold today. Probability Map classifies every event by country and region, so patterns invisible in a flat list become obvious on the map.
IMPORTANT
Probability Map is an independent information and analytics tool, for informational and educational purposes only - not financial, investment, or legal advice. The app is read-only: it doesn't let you execute any transaction, and no real money moves through it. Figures are built on third-party data, can change at any time, and are not a guarantee of any outcome.
Privacy Policy: https://probmap.digital/privacy-android
Terms of Use: https://probmap.digital/terms
Predict world events on a live prediction market tracker.