Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts
Feb 2014 · International Monetary Fund
I-Ebook
19
Amakhasi
Mayelana nale ebook
This paper provides an assessment of the consistency of unemployment and output forecasts. We show that, consistent with Okun’s Law, forecasts of real GDP growth and the change in unemployment are negatively correlated. The Okun coefficient—the responsiveness of unemployment to growth—from forecasts is fairly similar to that in the data for various countries. Furthermore, revisions to unemployment forecasts are negatively correlated with revisions to real GDP forecasts. These results are based on forecasts taken from Consensus Economics for nine advanced countries since 1989.
Nikeza le ebook isilinganiso
Sitshele ukuthi ucabangani.
Ulwazi lokufunda
Amasmathifoni namathebulethi
Faka uhlelo lokusebenza lwe-Google Play Amabhuku lwe-Android ne-iPad/iPhone. Livunyelaniswa ngokuzenzakalela ne-akhawunti yakho liphinde likuvumele ukuthi ufunde uxhunywe ku-inthanethi noma ungaxhunyiwe noma ngabe ukuphi.
Amakhompyutha aphathekayo namakhompyutha
Ungalalela ama-audiobook athengwe ku-Google Play usebenzisa isiphequluli sewebhu sekhompuyutha yakho.
Ama-eReaders namanye amadivayisi
Ukuze ufunde kumadivayisi e-e-ink afana ne-Kobo eReaders, uzodinga ukudawuniloda ifayela futhi ulidlulisele kudivayisi yakho. Landela imiyalelo Yesikhungo Sosizo eningiliziwe ukuze udlulise amafayela kuma-eReader asekelwayo.
