Geopolitics and Energy in Iraq: Where Politics Rules

Robert E. Ebel

ene 2010 · CSIS

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Part of this paper addresses the issue of the March 7, 2010 national election; the selection of a prime minister; and whether the promise held by the election will be fulfilled. If not, will the country return to the sectarianism conflicts that characterized its past/ Senior Iraqi officials fear that the troop drawdown could well result in a power vacuum to be filled by insurgents. The report also addresses the issue of the Iraq oil and gas sector, including security of the critical infrastructure, the role that sector has played over the years, its current position, and the prospects held for achieving a place in the world oil market commensurate with its reserves in the ground. Iraq continues to be the great unknown in terms of future world oil supply and is likely to remain so for the near term at least, if not longer should political constraints remain. The report concludes with a look at the electricity sector and the general public unhappiness with inadequate supplies.

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Robert E. Ebel is a senior adviser with the Energy and National Security Program at CSIS.