Morocco: A Practical Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis in a Country with Capital Controls

Mokhtar Benlamine · Mr.Ales Bulir · Meryem Farouki · Ágnes Horváth · Faical Hossaini · Hasnae El Idrissi · Zineb Iraoui · Mihály Kovács · Mr.Douglas Laxton · Anass Maaroufi · Katalin Szilágyi · Mohamed Taamouti · David Vávra

feb 2018 · International Monetary Fund

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The Central Bank of Morocco has been working on developing a Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) to support a gradual move toward a more flexible exchange rate regime and the eventual adoption of a full-fledged inflation-targeting (IT) regime. At the center of the FPAS is a quarterly projection model that was tailored for two different types of exchange rate regimes. Presently, the fixed exchange rate model version is to be used during the pre-IT period, while the flexible exchange rate model version is to be used to prepare alternative scenarios for monetary policy decision makers to discuss the potential policy implications of shocks under an IT regime.